The global pivot toward government-backed satellite programs is redefining global EO strategies, shifting demand toward defense-grade, sovereign capabilities
Paris, France [July 2, 2025] – The 18th edition of Novaspace’s Earth Observation Satellite Systems report, finds 5,770 EO satellites set to launch by 2034 as national defense priorities shape space strategy. As geopolitical instability drives interest in sovereign EO assets, defense and civil satellites are positioned to overtake commercial deployments .
“A new generation of defense suppliers is emerging as countries look to promote the development of national EO ecosystems, with momentum expected to increase in the coming years,” says Federico Banfi, project manager at Novaspace. “This shift in priorities is accelerating procurement cycles and offering the market more agile, cost-effective, and modular systems supported by advanced software and AI.”
Going forward, defense satellites are poised to lead new deployments. This trend is increasingly visible with recent projected budget cuts in commercial Earth observation data procurement reinforcing this strategic shift. US agencies are increasingly prioritizing data from internal, defense-operated assets over commercial sources, driving the move toward sovereign, secure space capabilities.
This growth is enabled by the miniaturization of technologies supporting the deployment of smallsat constellations in various types of orbits, carrying an increasing range of sensors that could be hosted on-board. 2025 marks the start of the Very Low Earth Orbit (VLEO) and VVHR era, set to disrupt competition going forward. The Chinese Chutian constellation deployed its first prototype in 2024 and is preparing for larger deployment this year. In the US, commercial players have also started deployment, signaling a new generation of high-resolution, low-latency capabilities.
Performance, longevity, and cost efficiency now outweigh mass as key priorities. Heavier smallsat associated enhanced capabilities meet growing defense and mission demands, while launch costs remain manageable. Sub-50 kg satellites, once 82% of commercial launches, are expected to drop below 50%, highlighting this market is shifting toward more complex and diversified missions.
About the Report
Novaspace’s Earth Observation Satellite Systems, 18th edition provides a global assessment of the EO space systems market. Evaluating supply and demand for EO satellites built and launched in the past and next decade, the report details the market evolution for commercial, civil government and unclassified defense satellites. Novaspace proprietary database includes satellites launched and to be launched by 2034 with details on the operator, the manufacturer and full, extensive characterization information (e.g., mass, mission and sensor type, resolution, etc.).
Access the full report here: https://nova.space/hub/product/earth-observation-satellite-systems-database/
About Novaspace
Novaspace is a global leader in space consulting and market intelligence, formed through the merger of Euroconsult and SpaceTec Partners. This strategic move combines the distinctive strengths of both entities to significantly amplify our international presence and service capabilities. With over 40-year legacy of expertise in guiding public and private entities in strategic decision-making, Novaspace offers end-to-end consulting services, from project strategy definition to implementation, providing data-led perspectives on critical issues. Novaspace presents an expanded portfolio of services, featuring combined expertise in management and technology consulting, top-tier executive summits, and market intelligence. Trusted by 1,200 clients in over 60 countries, with offices strategically located in Brussels, London, Montreal, Munich, Paris, Singapore, Sydney, Tokyo, Toulouse, and Washington D.C.
Media Enquiries:
Olivia Garnier | Communications Lead – olivia.garnier@nova.space
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source: spacenews.com